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Aviation decarbonisation costs strain operator margins
Regulatory timelines and energy transitions demand fleet renewal strategies across transportation sectors
Risk profile
Passenger transport
Publication date: 14 Apr 2025
By Eye For Business
Fuel transition pressures
EU emissions trading reforms expose 82% of airlines to €95/tonne carbon costs by 2030, with cruise operators reporting 14% fuel expenditure increases for low-sulphur compliance. CDP data reveals 38% of maritime firms lack viable biofuel transition plans, risking IMO 2030 sulphur cap penalties.
Operational cost inflation
Upstream energy procurement costs may rise 22-28% through 2026 for operators using conventional marine fuels, particularly affecting Asia-Europe shipping lanes. Downstream, 63% of airlines face €4.7bn collective EU CBAM liabilities for non-compliant aircraft through 2030.
Fleet renewal initiatives
67% of aviation entities now deploy SAF blending mandates, achieving 12-18% emission reductions per revenue tonne kilometre. 71% of maritime operators implement slow-steaming protocols, cutting fuel consumption 23% through AI-optimised routing.
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